Here are the expected margins of victory. We’ve forecast each contest: StatewideDistrict 1District 2District 3, Chance of winning Hawaii’s 4 electoral votes, FiveThirtyEight’s forecast for the Hawaii Senate race between Brian Schatz and John Carroll », Chance of winning California’s 55 electoral votes, FiveThirtyEight’s forecast for the California Senate race between Kamala Harris and Loretta Sanchez », Chance of winning Mississippi’s 6 electoral votes, Chance of winning Missouri’s 10 electoral votes, FiveThirtyEight’s forecast for the Missouri Senate race between Roy Blunt and Jason Kander », Chance of winning Indiana’s 11 electoral votes, FiveThirtyEight’s forecast for the Indiana Senate race between Evan Bayh and Todd Young », Chance of winning Louisiana’s 8 electoral votes, FiveThirtyEight’s forecast for the Louisiana Senate race », Chance of winning Massachusetts’s 11 electoral votes, Chance of winning West Virginia’s 5 electoral votes, Chance of winning Wyoming’s 3 electoral votes, Chance of winning Idaho’s 4 electoral votes, FiveThirtyEight’s forecast for the Idaho Senate race between Mike Crapo and Jerry Sturgill », Chance of winning North Dakota’s 3 electoral votes, FiveThirtyEight’s forecast for the North Dakota Senate race between John Hoeven and Eliot Glassheim », Chance of winning Arkansas’s 6 electoral votes, FiveThirtyEight’s forecast for the Arkansas Senate race between John Boozman and Conner Eldridge », Chance of winning Maryland’s 10 electoral votes, FiveThirtyEight’s forecast for the Maryland Senate race between Chris Van Hollen and Kathy Szeliga », Chance of winning Kentucky’s 8 electoral votes, FiveThirtyEight’s forecast for the Kentucky Senate race between Rand Paul and Jim Gray », Chance of winning Alabama’s 9 electoral votes, FiveThirtyEight’s forecast for the Alabama Senate race between Richard Shelby and Ron Crumpton », Chance of winning District of Columbia’s 3 electoral votes, Chance of winning Oklahoma’s 7 electoral votes, FiveThirtyEight’s forecast for the Oklahoma Senate race between James Lankford and Mike Workman ». Here are the polls we added in each update. President Obama won NE-02 in 2008 while losing the state, and President Trump won Maine’s 2nd District and lost the state in 2016 in an inverse situation. Here's where the race stands, with the states ordered by the projected margin between the candidates — Clinton’s strongest states are at the top, Trump’s at the bottom — and sized by the number of electoral votes they will award. Candidate portraits by Kristina Micotti. Download CSV of polls. Nebraska 2nd District predictions and polling data for the 2016 presidential election between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. Have thoughts on our forecast? Sign up. Includes 2016 Races for President, Senate, House, Governor and Key Ballot Measures. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Here are the chances we’ll see these election outcomes.
We'll be updating our forecasts every time new data is available, every day through Nov. 8. That gives us a distribution for each candidate, where the tallest bar is the outcome that occurred most frequently.
Senate ... 2 nd Congressional District ^ Source Date Sample Biden We update our forecast with new polls as they are released. The curves will get narrower as the election gets closer and our forecasts become more confident. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Poll results aggregated from HuffPost Pollster, RealClearPolitics, polling firms and news reports. Our model produces a distribution of outcomes for the national popular vote. Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton by 25 points statewide in 2016 while winning the 2nd district by about 2%. So far we’ve collected 4,208 state and national polls. Have thoughts on our forecast? Send us an email. POLITICO's Live 2016 Nebraska Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. Here's where the race stands, with the states ordered by the projected margin between the candidates — Clinton’s strongest states are farthest left, Trump’s farthest right — and sized by the number of electoral votes they will award. A new Democratic poll shows presidential nominee Joe Biden with a hefty lead over President Trump in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, and Democrat Kara Eastman holding a … In each of our simulations, we forecast the states and note the number of electoral votes each candidate wins. RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Nebraska 2nd District - Bacon vs. Ashford The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. We’re forecasting the election with three models, What polls, the economy and historical data tell us about Nov. 8, Who would win the election if it were held today. A candidate needs at least 270 electoral votes to clinch the White House. Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Two measures help capture how important a state and its voters will be in determining the next president: “Tipping-point chance” is the probability that a state will provide the decisive vote in the Electoral College. Send us an email. There are plausible electoral maps—for example, taking the 2016 outcome and giving Biden Michigan, Wisconsin, and Arizona, but not Pennsylvania—where the entire presidential election comes down to the result in NE-02. POLITICO's Live 2016 Election Results and Maps by State, County and District.
View the results of 2020 election polls from Nebraska. Forecast models by Nate Silver.
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